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Table 1 Absolute change in areas (km 2 ) for An. gambiae per country of Africa under scenario 1

From: Zoom in at African country level: potential climate induced changes in areas of suitability for survival of malaria vectors

Countries

EI = 0

EI = (0.1-5)

EI = (5–10)

EI = (10–30)

EI = (30–100)

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

Algeria

-268

0.0%

268

0.7%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Angola

-190,987

-98.3%

-269,996

-60.8%

137,090

117.6%

133,655

38.5%

190,238

126.3%

Benin

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

-5,198

-9.5%

5,198

8.1%

Botswana

-156,215

-32.2%

151,820

160.1%

3,827

--

567

--

0

--

Burkina Faso

0

--

-25

-0.1%

5,389

12.7%

-7,498

-3.7%

2,134

45.0%

Burundi

0

--

-276

-32.1%

-540

-28.9%

-111

-0.5%

927

336.4%

Cameroon

0

0.0%

-2,418

-56.4%

1,511

19.0%

-18,380

-16.2%

19,287

5.7%

Cape Verde

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Central African Republic

0

--

0

--

0

--

-23,133

-20.5%

23,133

4.6%

Chad

-237

-0.7%

-9,195

-1.1%

2,241

1.6%

3,756

1.4%

3,435

--

Comoros

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

176

402.2%

-176

-19.9%

Congo

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Congo, DRC

-11,592

-98.8%

-47,801

-63.7%

13,711

33.2%

-134,908

-29.4%

180,590

10.3%

Cote d’Ivoire

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

-3,511

-52.7%

3,511

1.1%

Djibouti

-13,032

-92.5%

13,032

203.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Egypt

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Equatorial Guinea

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Eritrea

-99,158

-88.3%

99,158

1307.1%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Ethiopia

-151,552

-96.4%

-122,837

-14.7%

152,510

195.6%

121,818

189.4%

61

7.4%

Gabon

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Ghana

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

-7,835

-16.2%

7,835

4.1%

Guinea

61

8.4%

5,797

148.1%

4,051

69.2%

-17,185

-12.9%

7,276

7.1%

Guinea-Bissau

43

4.7%

6,578

--

15,656

--

-22,277

-73.1%

0

--

Kenya

-1,924

-7.2%

-179,902

-49.9%

64,693

82.0%

98,760

115.2%

18,373

55.6%

Lesotho

-2,282

-7.4%

2,282

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Libya

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Madagascar

-261

-4.7%

-37,823

-57.2%

18,757

15.8%

5,219

2.0%

14,108

10.4%

Malawi

-357

-54.6%

-47,014

-68.1%

27,654

98.1%

19,343

98.8%

373

--

Mali

-3,425

-1.4%

31,341

4.8%

-3,096

-2.2%

-25,456

-12.0%

636

60.8%

Mauritania

31,741

11.7%

-10,301

-1.4%

-21,440

-69.1%

0

--

0

--

Morocco

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Mozambique

-44,578

-87.9%

-136,287

-53.4%

65,073

66.7%

70,031

25.9%

45,761

37.9%

Namibia

-409,359

-54.1%

380,869

532.2%

27,946

--

544

--

0

--

Niger

-3,060

-2.9%

-9,587

-0.9%

12,169

27.3%

477

3.3%

0

--

Nigeria

0

0.0%

-28,855

-46.3%

5,777

3.6%

1,169

0.4%

21,909

5.8%

Rwanda

0

--

-518

-28.6%

-3,817

-48.5%

4,335

28.2%

0

--

Sao Tome & Principe

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Senegal

0

0.0%

8,049

20.0%

19,902

36.5%

-27,951

-27.4%

0

--

Seychelles

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Sierra Leone

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

-1,924

-6.7%

1,924

5.0%

Somalia

-198,568

-91.2%

155,491

52.5%

4,854

7.1%

34,807

62.5%

3,416

--

South Africa

-176,144

-14.8%

139,066

512.6%

20,468

739.0%

14,615

662.5%

1,995

--

Sudan

-68,926

-10.4%

44,233

5.4%

-24,274

-11.7%

-17,704

-2.8%

66,671

37.6%

Swaziland

-11,056

-77.9%

9,423

357.2%

1,524

--

108

--

0

--

Tanzania

-1,477

-30.1%

-93,706

-45.6%

-43,689

-24.8%

34,179

8.3%

104,692

71.4%

The Gambia

0

0.0%

0

--

70

--

-70

-0.7%

0

--

Togo

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

-1,293

-12.3%

1,293

2.8%

Tunisia

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Uganda

0

0.0%

-383

-20.1%

-519

-24.8%

-24,531

-41.2%

25,433

14.0%

Western Sahara

410

0.2%

-410

-0.6%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Zambia

-75,481

-96.6%

-280,531

-45.0%

182,310

385.4%

173,703

3221.2%

0

--

Zimbabwe

-90,517

-37.7%

79,923

57.9%

8,760

65.2%

1,834

--

0

--

Grand total

-1,678,200

-15.9%

-150,534

-1.9%

698,477

40.6%

378,946

8.6%

751,311

13.9%

  1. Values obtained by subtracting the Eco-climatic index (EI) estimates for future An. gambiae distribution from projected scenario 1 criteria to the EI estimates obtained under current climate for each country. Percentages (%) were calculated by dividing each absolute area change to the current area value per country.