Table 2 No-exceedance probabilities of 2002 events using the Montreal model
Variable | Distribution | Toronto | Cleveland | Detroit | Chicago (M) | Chicago (O) | NY (LGA) | NY (JFK) | Montreal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tmax max | Lognormal | 0.739 | 0.665 | 0.844 | 0.903 | 0.765 | 0.903 | 0.943 | 0.772 |
Tmin max | Lognormal | 0.969 | 0.926 | 0.865 | 0.999 | 0.992 | 1.000 | 0.999 | 0.935 |
Tave max | Lognormal | 0.886 | 0.869 | 0.902 | 0.995 | 0.974 | 0.995 | 0.997 | 0.926 |
Tave min | GEV | 0.906 | 0.992 | 0.991 | 0.951 | 0.913 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.998 |
Ptot | Lognormal | 0.649 | 0.651 | 0.545 | 0.918 | 0.959 | 0.995 | 0.993 | 0.229 |
DD18 | Lognormal | 0.855 | 0.995 | 0.996 | 1.000 | 0.996 | 1.000 | 0.998 | 0.983 |
DD20 | Lognormal | 0.856 | 0.993 | 0.994 | 0.999 | 0.995 | 1.000 | 0.997 | 0.980 |
DD25 | Gumbel | 0.948 | 0.998 | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.999 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.996 |
DD-5 | Gumbel | 0.679 | 0.999 | 0.998 | 1.000 | 0.996 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.987 |