A multilevel model for cardiovascular disease prevalence in the US and its application to micro area prevalence estimates

Congdon, Peter

doi:10.1186/1476-072X-8-6

International Journal of Health Geographics

Table 4 Cardiovascular Prevalence Models 1 to 3, Parameter Estimates for Females

From: A multilevel model for cardiovascular disease prevalence in the US and its application to micro area prevalence estimates

	Model 1				Model 2				Model 3
	Mean	2.5%	97.5%	Rel've Risk	Mean	2.5%	97.5%	Rel've Risk	Mean	2.5%	97.5%	Rel've Risk
α	-2.58	-2.63	-2.55		-2.67	-2.72	-2.61		-2.66	-2.72	-2.61
Ethnic Coefficients (log relative risk)*
β₂₁	0.00			1.00	0.00			1.00	0.00			1.00
β₂₂	0.38	0.33	0.43	1.46	0.35	0.27	0.43	1.42	0.32	0.25	0.41	1.38
β₂₃	0.10	0.04	0.16	1.11	0.11	0.04	0.16	1.11	-0.01	-0.12	0.06	0.99
β₂₄	0.34	0.28	0.40	1.41	0.37	0.29	0.43	1.44	0.48	0.42	0.56	1.62
Education Coefficients (log relative risk)**
η ₂₁	0.00			1.00	0.00			1.00	0.00			1.00
η ₂₂	-0.41	-0.45	-0.38	0.66	-0.38	-0.41	-0.34	0.69	-0.37	-0.40	-0.32	0.69
η ₂₃	-0.47	-0.51	-0.42	0.63	-0.43	-0.47	-0.39	0.65	-0.42	-0.47	-0.38	0.65
η ₂₄	-0.99	-1.03	-0.94	0.37	-0.93	-0.98	-0.88	0.39	-0.92	-0.97	-0.87	0.40
County Effects
κ₂ (County poverty)***					0.80	0.48	1.10	1.18	0.83	0.51	1.17	1.19
δ₂ Parameters (Urbanity)
Metro > 1 m					0.00			1.00	0.00			1.00
Metro, 250th-1m					0.01	-0.03	0.05	1.01	0.02	-0.02	0.06	1.02
Metro < 250th					0.07	0.03	0.12	1.07	0.06	0.01	0.11	1.06
Urban > 20th, adj Metro					0.07	-0.01	0.12	1.07	0.08	0.01	0.16	1.09
Urban > 20th, not adj Metro					-0.03	-0.14	0.09	0.97	0.01	-0.06	0.10	1.01
Urban 2.5–20th, adj Metro					0.10	0.05	0.15	1.11	0.10	0.05	0.15	1.10
Urban 2.5–20th, not adj Metro					0.04	-0.03	0.11	1.04	0.05	-0.02	0.13	1.05
Rural or < 2,5th, adj Metro					0.04	-0.13	0.17	1.04	0.04	-0.07	0.18	1.04
Rural or < 2,5th, not adj Metro					0.01	-0.07	0.10	1.01	0.01	-0.12	0.14	1.01
State Spatial Effects
λ_a, Average Spatial Dependence					0.59	0.24	0.86		0.28	0.11	0.57
τ_wOverall Spatial Variance (Model 2)					0.031	0.016	0.054
φ₁₁ Spatial Variance, Wh (Model 3)									0.023	0.011	0.049
φ₂₂ Spatial Variance, Blk (Model 3)									0.028	0.012	0.052
φ₃₃ Spatial Variance, Hisp (Model 3)									0.064	0.033	0.117
φ₄₄ Spatial Variance, Oth (Model 3)									0.078	0.046	0.132

* 1 White; 2 Black; 3 Hispanic; 4 Other
** 1 No school, elementary only, or some high school without graduating; 2 High school graduate; 3 Some college; 4 College Graduate
*** Relative Risks for County Poverty Compares Risks at 5th and 95th percentiles of 2005 all age poverty rate

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ISSN: 1476-072X

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