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Table 3 Estimated number of children under the age of five by province and their modelled treatment seeking for fever at the nearest public health facility

From: Spatial modelling of healthcare utilisation for treatment of fever in Namibia

  Estimated number of children under five years of age in 2009 Estimated number of children under five years of age within a PHF1 catchment Estimated number of fever cases among children under five years of age based on MIS prevalence Number(Percentage) of children under five years of age with fever likely to attend a PHF1 Number(Percentage) of children under five years of age with fever not likely to attend a PHF1
Region      
Caprivi 8,881 8,741 2,433 1,637(67.3) 796(32.7)
Kavango 20,244 20,374 4,825 3,264(67.6) 1,561(32.4)
Kunene 8,192 7,363 1,425 588(41.3) 837(58.7)
Ohangwena 32,167 30,863 3,793 2,695(71) 1,098(29.0)
Omaheke 11,550 11,051 1,974 1,060(53.7) 914(46.3)
Omusati 27,386 26,993 3,478 2,522(72.5) 956(27.5)
Oshana 14,973 13,088 2,186 1,648(75.4) 538(24.6)
Oshikoto 19,918 23,6612 1,395 932(66.8) 463(33.2)
Otjozondjupa 18,977 18,160 3,321 1,868(56.3) 1,453(43.7)
Travel time
< 30 minutes 51,791 51,791 8,021 6,056(75.5) 1,965(24.5)
> 30 minutes - < 1 hour 98,620 98,620 14,902 11,218(75.3) 3,684(24.7)
> 1 - < 2 hours 138,219 138,219 19,035 14,136(74.3) 4,898(25.7)
> 2 - < 3 hours 160,294 160,294 20,799 15,279(73.5) 5,520(26.5)
> 3 hours 1,992 - 4,031 934(23.2) 3,096(76.8)
Probability of attendance
< 0.50 13,698 11,808 2,277 19(0.8) 2,258(99.2)
> 0.50 - < 0.60 7,820 7,908 1,356 717(52.9) 639(47.1)
> 0.60- < 0.70 18,944 18,963 2,928 1,925(65.7) 1,003(34.3)
> 0.70- < 0.75 120,862 121,615 18,269 13,553(74.2) 4,716(25.8)
Total 162,286 160,294 3 24,830 16,214 (65.3) 8,616 (34.7)
  1. 1. PHF is an abbreviation for 'Public Health Facility', which in this case does not include private facilities or privates for profit
  2. 2. For Oshikoto region, the estimated number of children (0-4 years) slightly exceeds the overall population estimate for the region. This is because the catchment boundaries in some cases overlap the regional boundaries
  3. 3. The total number of children 0-4 years old in catchment boundaries was lower than the total estimated under fives population because of (a) not all children within the catchment were assumed to use the public health facility (b) the catchment boundaries did not covering 100% of the entire population by limiting maximum travel time to 3 hours from the decay model