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Table 6 The R 0 estimates overall and by region

From: Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns

Province a. WT estimate of R0 b. Travel estimate of R0 c. Uniform between provinces d. Extra for neighbor provinces e. Extra for populous provinces
Overall 1.33 1.34 1.33 1.33 1.34
(1.31-1.36) (1.30-1.38) (1.30-1.37) (1.30-1.37) (1.31-1.37)
Eastern Cape 1.33 0.78 0.77 0.94 0.71
(1.24-1.44) (0.75-0.82) (0.75-0.81) (0.92-0.98) (0.69-0.74)
Free State 1.32 0.67 0.59 1.00 0.78
(1.19-1.50) (0.64-0.71) (0.57-0.61) (0.98-1.03) (0.77-0.81)
Gauteng 1.28 1.51 1.49 1.46 1.42
(1.27-1.31) (1.48-1.54) (1.47-1.53) (1.44-1.50) (1.41-1.45)
KwaZulu-Natal 1.37 0.90 0.98 0.95 1.25
(1.32-1.45) (0.87-0.93) (0.96-1.01) (0.93-0.97) (1.22-1.28)
Limpopo 1.36 0.68 0.70 0.92 0.72
(1.18-1.54) (0.66-0.70) (0.68-0.71) (0.89-0.94) (0.71-0.74)
Mpumalanga 1.31 0.77 0.61 0.98 0.74
(1.24-1.40) (0.74-0.81) (0.59-0.62) (0.96-1.00) (0.73-0.75)
Northern Cape 1.23 0.50 0.46 0.82 0.61
(1.11-1.48) (0.44-0.55) (0.45-0.48) (0.79-0.85) (0.59-0.63)
Northwest 1.33 0.71 0.65 0.89 0.71
(1.19-1.50) (0.67-0.76) (0.62-0.68) (0.87-0.93) (0.69-0.75)
Western Cape 1.34 1.30 1.21 1.09 1.27
(1.29-1.41) (1.23-1.35) (1.16-1.26) (1.05-1.15) (1.23-1.32)
  1. The period considered is the 60 days of the outbreak when the epidemic curve was growing exponentially. Results are the median of the results from the imputed datasets with the range from the 500 datasets shown in parenthesis.