Table 6 The R 0 estimates overall and by region
From: Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns
Province | a. WT estimate of R0 | b. Travel estimate of R0 | c. Uniform between provinces | d. Extra for neighbor provinces | e. Extra for populous provinces |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.34 |
(1.31-1.36) | (1.30-1.38) | (1.30-1.37) | (1.30-1.37) | (1.31-1.37) | |
Eastern Cape | 1.33 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.94 | 0.71 |
(1.24-1.44) | (0.75-0.82) | (0.75-0.81) | (0.92-0.98) | (0.69-0.74) | |
Free State | 1.32 | 0.67 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
(1.19-1.50) | (0.64-0.71) | (0.57-0.61) | (0.98-1.03) | (0.77-0.81) | |
Gauteng | 1.28 | 1.51 | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.42 |
(1.27-1.31) | (1.48-1.54) | (1.47-1.53) | (1.44-1.50) | (1.41-1.45) | |
KwaZulu-Natal | 1.37 | 0.90 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.25 |
(1.32-1.45) | (0.87-0.93) | (0.96-1.01) | (0.93-0.97) | (1.22-1.28) | |
Limpopo | 1.36 | 0.68 | 0.70 | 0.92 | 0.72 |
(1.18-1.54) | (0.66-0.70) | (0.68-0.71) | (0.89-0.94) | (0.71-0.74) | |
Mpumalanga | 1.31 | 0.77 | 0.61 | 0.98 | 0.74 |
(1.24-1.40) | (0.74-0.81) | (0.59-0.62) | (0.96-1.00) | (0.73-0.75) | |
Northern Cape | 1.23 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.82 | 0.61 |
(1.11-1.48) | (0.44-0.55) | (0.45-0.48) | (0.79-0.85) | (0.59-0.63) | |
Northwest | 1.33 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.89 | 0.71 |
(1.19-1.50) | (0.67-0.76) | (0.62-0.68) | (0.87-0.93) | (0.69-0.75) | |
Western Cape | 1.34 | 1.30 | 1.21 | 1.09 | 1.27 |
(1.29-1.41) | (1.23-1.35) | (1.16-1.26) | (1.05-1.15) | (1.23-1.32) |