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Table 4 Summary of the local cluster test results for female lung cancer for both risk magnitudes, by census tract level

From: Detecting cancer clusters in a regional population with local cluster tests and Bayesian smoothing methods: a simulation study

    

Urban cluster

Rural cluster

 

Test

 

Parameter

TP

FP

FN

DR

Sp

PPV

LR+

TP

FP

FN

DR

Sp

PPV

LR+

RR = 2

Besag & Newell

k = 5

Mean

5

24

32

0.14

0.99

0.09

13.41

0

23

6

0.04

0.99

0.01

5.12

  

CI [95%]

0-19

6-50

18-37

0-0.51

0.97-1

0-0.33

0-66.4

0-3

6-50

3-6

0-0.5

0.97-1

0-0.08

0-43

 

k = 10

Mean

10

42

27

0.27

0.98

0.19

16.36

0

40

6

0.05

0.98

0.01

3.44

  

CI [95%]

0-31

6-99

5-37

0-0.86

0.94-1

0-0.6

0-74.7

0-4

3-114

2-6

0-0.67

0.94-1

0-0.08

0-25

 

k = 13

Mean

12

49

25

0.32

0.97

0.18

16.55

0

45

6

0.05

0.98

0.01

3.65

  

CI [95%]

0-35

6-120

2-37

0-0.95

0.94-1

0-0.51

0-71

0-4

3-114

2-6

0-0.67

0.94-1

0-0.07

0-24.7

Kulldorff spatial scan

 

Mean

14

117

23

0.38

0.94

0.14

10.3

1

98

6

0.14

0.95

0.01

4.6

statistic

 

CI [95%]

0-37

13-625

0-37

0-1

0.62-1

0-0.47

0-46.2

0-6

11-429

5-6

0-1

0.78-1

0-0.12

0-44.9

Local Moran’s I

 

Mean

4

38

33

0.10

0.98

0.09

5.64

0

41

6

0.00

0.99

0

0

   

CI [95%]

0-10

24-51

27-33

0-0.27

0.97-0.99

0-0.25

0-17.5

0-0

26-55

6-6

0-0

0.97-0.99

0-0

0-0

RR = 4

Besag & Newell

k = 5

Mean

23

26

14

0.61

0.99

0.23

56.27

1

25

5

0.17

0.99

0.02

15.04

  

CI [95%]

7-34

8-53

3-30

0.19-0.92

0.97-1

0.08-0.42

10.7-163

0-4

7-53

2-6

0-0.67

0.97-1

0-0.15

0-82.4

 

k = 10

Mean

32

53

5

0.87

0.97

0.41

40.92

1

43

5

0.176

0.98

0.02

8.61

  

CI [95%]

16-37

13-113

0-20

0.46-1

0.94-1

0.2-0.7

14.2-122.7

0-5

7-105

1-6

0-0.83

0.95-1

0-0.13

0-61.8

 

k = 13

Mean

34

63

3

0.93

0.97

0.37

33.86

2

52

5

0.16

0.97

0.02

5.6

  

CI [95%]

18-37

17-141

0-18

0.51-1

0.93-0.99

0.19-0.65

11.8-98.7

0-6

5-133

0-6

0-0.83

0.93-1

0-0.1

0-36.6

Kulldorff spatial scan

 

Mean

37

264

0

0.99

0.86

0.19

13.6

0

109

6

0.06

0.94

0.00

1.6

statistic

 

CI [95%]

31-37

36-873

0-5

0.84-1

0.55-0.98

0.04-0.45

2.2-43.2

0-1

14-441

5-6

0-0.17

0.72-0.99

0-0.03

0-11.4

Local Moran’s I

 

Mean

13

34

24

0.35

0.98

0.28

21.54

0

40

6

0.00

0.98

0.00

0.0

   

CI [95%]

4-21

20-49

16-33

0.11-0.57

0.97-0.99

0.11-0.45

6.2-43.5

0-0

27-54

6-6

0-0

0.97-0.99

0-0

0-0

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International Journal of Health Geographics

ISSN: 1476-072X