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Table 2 Absolute change in areas (km 2 ) for An. gambiae per country of Africa under scenario 2

From: Zoom in at African country level: potential climate induced changes in areas of suitability for survival of malaria vectors

Countries

EI = 0

EI = (0.1-5)

EI = (5–10)

EI = (10–30)

EI = (30–100)

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

Algeria

-13,395

-0.6%

13,395

35.7%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Angola

-18,304

-9.4%

-262,407

-59.0%

144,986

124.4%

81,332

23.4%

54,392

36.1%

Benin

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

9,805

18.0%

-9,805

-15.4%

Botswana

-76,585

-15.8%

64,040

67.5%

11,447

--

1,098

--

0

--

Burkina Faso

0

--

-7,385

-28.2%

6,067

14.3%

5,584

2.8%

-4,266

-90.0%

Burundi

0

--

31

3.6%

380

20.3%

-135

-0.6%

-276

-100.0%

Cameroon

31

5.5%

-2,620

-61.2%

4,795

60.2%

126,511

111.2%

-128,716

-37.9%

Cape Verde

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Central African Republic

0

--

0

--

0

--

124,589

110.5%

-124,589

-24.6%

Chad

-1,036

-3.0%

-52,916

-6.4%

43,927

30.9%

10,026

3.7%

0

--

Comoros

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

840

1915.1%

-840

-94.7%

Congo

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Congo, DRC

-1,022

-8.7%

2,929

3.9%

7,064

17.1%

131,275

28.6%

-140,247

-8.0%

Cote d’Ivoire

0

0.0%

0

--

2,002

--

32,490

487.5%

-34,492

-11.0%

Djibouti

-13,118

-93.1%

13,118

204.3%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Egypt

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Equatorial Guinea

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Eritrea

-6,757

-6.0%

6,757

89.1%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Ethiopia

-56,353

-35.8%

-18,488

-2.2%

69,136

88.7%

6,531

10.2%

-826

-100.0%

Gabon

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Ghana

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

12,508

25.9%

-12,508

-6.5%

Guinea

90

12.5%

16,541

422.6%

17,106

292.4%

32,242

24.2%

-65,979

-64.8%

Guinea-Bissau

124

13.3%

17,947

--

12,398

--

-30,469

-100.0%

0

--

Kenya

-896

-3.4%

3,260

0.9%

-4,980

-6.3%

7,993

9.3%

-5,376

-16.3%

Lesotho

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Libya

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Madagascar

-394

-7.0%

-46,954

-71.0%

-50,862

-42.8%

138,412

52.1%

-40,203

-29.7%

Malawi

30

4.5%

6,601

9.6%

-3,273

-11.6%

-3,357

-17.2%

0

--

Mali

-35,762

-14.2%

17,630

2.7%

41,122

28.9%

-21,945

-10.3%

-1,046

-100.0%

Mauritania

1,426

0.5%

10,121

1.4%

-11,546

-37.2%

0

--

0

--

Morocco

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Mozambique

-496

-1.0%

-161,657

-63.4%

70,282

72.1%

156,528

58.0%

-64,656

-53.5%

Namibia

-8,608

-1.1%

-54,034

-75.5%

60,700

--

1,942

--

0

--

Niger

-41,835

-40.1%

-37,796

-3.7%

77,389

173.6%

2,242

15.5%

0

--

Nigeria

0

0.0%

-43,815

-70.3%

10,834

6.8%

90,909

29.3%

-57,928

-15.2%

Rwanda

0

--

335

18.5%

908

11.5%

-1,244

-8.1%

0

--

Sao Tome & Principe

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

0.0%

Senegal

0

0.0%

20,008

49.8%

42,788

78.5%

-62,796

-61.5%

0

--

Seychelles

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Sierra Leone

0

0.0%

1,852

91.8%

2,736

96.9%

21,979

76.0%

-26,568

-68.6%

Somalia

-144,129

-66.2%

113,211

38.2%

8,157

12.0%

19,397

34.8%

3,364

--

South Africa

-211

0.0%

-13,589

-50.1%

5,350

193.1%

6,716

304.4%

1,735

--

Sudan

-6,670

-1.0%

-30,065

-3.6%

-17,980

-8.7%

77,773

12.4%

-23,059

-13.0%

Swaziland

-404

-2.8%

55

2.1%

350

--

0

--

0

--

Tanzania

-184

-3.7%

-25,898

-12.6%

-8,435

-4.8%

34,099

8.3%

416

0.3%

The Gambia

0

0.0%

0

--

5,568

--

-5,568

-56.9%

0

--

Togo

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

10,584

101.0%

-10,584

-23.2%

Tunisia

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Uganda

0

0.0%

183

9.6%

1,491

71.3%

102,432

172.2%

-104,106

-57.2%

Western Sahara

12

0.0%

-12

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Zambia

-26,800

-34.3%

-154,013

-24.7%

118,504

250.5%

62,310

1155.5%

0

--

Zimbabwe

-11,813

-4.9%

-7,144

-5.2%

13,908

103.5%

5,050

--

0

--

Grand total

-463,059

-4.4%

-609,744

-7.7%

685,060

39.8%

1,238,829

28.3%

-851,087

-15.8%

  1. Values were obtained by subtracting the Eco-climatic index (EI) estimates for future An. gambiae distribution from projected scenario 2 criteria to the EI estimates obtained under current climate for each country. Percentages (%) were calculated by dividing each absolute area change to the current area value per country.