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Table 3 Absolute change in areas (km 2 ) for An. arabiensis per African country under scenario 1

From: Zoom in at African country level: potential climate induced changes in areas of suitability for survival of malaria vectors

Countries

EI = 0

EI = (0.1-5)

EI = (5–10)

EI = (10–30)

EI = (30–100)

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

Algeria

-18,029

-0.9%

18,029

7.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Angola

-119

-5.3%

-122,371

-13.6%

42,468

16.3%

80,021

90.1%

0

--

Benin

0

0.0%

9

--

-9

0.0%

0

--

0

--

Botswana

-4,875

-18.7%

-201,103

-64.4%

-102,862

-45.3%

308,841

2144.3%

0

--

Burkina Faso

0

--

0

--

2,463

0.9%

-2,463

-24.0%

0

--

Burundi

0

0.0%

-829

-3.2%

829

54.9%

0

--

0

--

Cameroon

-90,100

-78.7%

91,441

33.5%

-1,342

-1.7%

0

--

0

--

Cape Verde

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Central African Republic

0

--

62,703

15.6%

-62,703

-28.7%

0

--

0

--

Chad

-148

-4.1%

-38,316

-7.4%

38,464

5.2%

0

--

0

--

Comoros

0

0.0%

0

--

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

Congo

-107,537

-83.9%

107,537

49.5%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Congo, DRC

-144,492

-49.6%

139,848

6.9%

4,643

53.3%

0

--

0

--

Cote d’Ivoire

-150

-5.5%

-892

-0.5%

1,732

1.2%

-690

-100.0%

0

--

Djibouti

0

0.0%

-4,091

-27.0%

4,091

79.8%

0

--

0

--

Egypt

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Equatorial Guinea

-1,598

-6.0%

1,598

1943.1%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Eritrea

-824

-28.4%

-17,267

-22.3%

10,546

26.6%

7,545

--

0

--

Ethiopia

-856

-34.4%

-267,550

-31.1%

257,782

97.1%

10,624

153.7%

0

--

Gabon

-60,795

-33.3%

60,795

75.4%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Ghana

0

0.0%

-5,698

-59.8%

14,531

7.8%

-8,833

-19.8%

0

--

Guinea

2,714

109.6%

-2,196

-0.9%

-518

-9.7%

0

--

0

--

Guinea-Bissau

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Kenya

-1,298

-46.0%

-162,139

-52.5%

57,455

27.5%

105,982

166.2%

0

--

Lesotho

-29,693

-96.4%

29,693

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Libya

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Madagascar

-2,126

-21.9%

-19,475

-5.7%

3,924

2.3%

17,677

23.5%

0

--

Malawi

0

--

-2,431

-2.2%

2,431

54.7%

0

--

0

--

Mali

-540

-1.5%

-32,144

-4.8%

39,024

7.2%

-6,340

-100.0%

0

--

Mauritania

-2,013

-1.3%

-864

-0.1%

2,877

1.2%

0

--

0

--

Morocco

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Mozambique

-92

-2.6%

-124,300

-39.3%

97,249

30.5%

27,143

17.5%

0

--

Namibia

-47,193

-24.1%

-3,795

-1.4%

-49,822

-21.4%

100,810

77.0%

0

--

Niger

-441

-4.4%

-43,709

-6.0%

40,767

9.7%

3,383

14.8%

0

--

Nigeria

1,868

30.4%

26,586

8.4%

-28,454

-4.8%

0

--

0

--

Rwanda

-2

-100.0%

-4,175

-16.8%

4,177

3822.3%

0

--

0

--

Sao Tome & Principe

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Senegal

0

0.0%

-11,289

-19.4%

11,289

8.1%

0

--

0

--

Seychelles

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Sierra Leone

1,312

33.9%

-1,312

-1.9%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Somalia

-4,165

-41.7%

-46,632

-9.4%

39,747

45.7%

11,050

24.8%

0

--

South Africa

-320,421

-35.1%

190,047

72.8%

63,538

185.0%

66,837

568.5%

0

--

Sudan

-3,634

-2.9%

-73,782

-9.0%

-149,745

-12.1%

227,160

71.6%

0

--

Swaziland

-27

-33.3%

-2,626

-32.2%

-3,108

-37.9%

5,761

1484.4%

0

--

Tanzania

-1,285

-35.4%

-180,302

-29.5%

139,132

70.0%

42,455

32.7%

0

--

The Gambia

0

0.0%

-5,206

-79.4%

5,206

161.0%

0

--

0

--

Togo

0

0.0%

10,110

--

-8,555

-16.1%

-1,555

-51.3%

0

--

Tunisia

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Uganda

-187

-100.0%

-21,898

-13.9%

2,798

3.5%

19,287

211.0%

0

--

Western Sahara

-5,159

-4.4%

5,159

3.4%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Zambia

-900

-100.0%

-44,041

-7.0%

44,941

36.8%

0

--

0

--

Zimbabwe

-5,556

-96.0%

-83,346

-37.8%

15,793

11.3%

73,109

289.4%

0

--

Grand total

-847,964

-11.3%

-780,622

-5.6%

540,783

7.3%

1,087,803

93.7%

0

--

  1. Values obtained by subtracting the Eco-climatic index (EI) estimates for future An. arabiensis distribution from projected scenario 1 criteria to the EI estimates obtained under current climate for each country. Percentages (%) were calculated by dividing each absolute area change to the current area value per country.