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Table 4 Absolute change in areas (km 2 ) for An. arabiensis per African country under scenario 2

From: Zoom in at African country level: potential climate induced changes in areas of suitability for survival of malaria vectors

Countries

EI = 0

EI = (0.1-5)

EI = (5–10)

EI = (10–30)

EI = (30–100)

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

(km2)

%

Algeria

-65,468

-3.2%

65,468

25.5%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Angola

6,405

285.3%

14,451

1.6%

12,113

4.6%

-32,969

-37.1%

0

--

Benin

0

0.0%

84,032

--

-84,032

-71.0%

0

--

0

--

Botswana

-23,109

-88.5%

-218,861

-70.1%

-106,614

-47.0%

348,584

2420.2%

0

--

Burkina Faso

0

--

1,794

--

8,479

3.2%

-10,273

-100.0%

0

--

Burundi

0

0.0%

1,510

5.9%

-1,510

-100.0%

0

--

0

--

Cameroon

-92,954

-81.2%

104,920

38.5%

-12,256

-15.5%

290

--

0

--

Cape Verde

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Central African Republic

1,072

--

145,689

36.3%

-146,761

-67.3%

0

--

0

--

Chad

0

0.0%

-21,437

-4.1%

-9,166

-1.2%

30,603

--

0

--

Comoros

0

0.0%

687

--

-687

-73.9%

0

--

0

--

Congo

-122,043

-95.2%

122,043

56.2%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Congo, DRC

-174,290

-59.8%

182,956

9.0%

-8,666

-99.5%

0

--

0

--

Cote d’Ivoire

143

5.3%

123,466

72.9%

-122,918

-82.9%

-690

-100.0%

0

--

Djibouti

0

0.0%

5,124

33.8%

-5,124

-100.0%

0

--

0

--

Egypt

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Equatorial Guinea

-26,279

-98.8%

26,221

31886.6%

58

--

0

--

0

--

Eritrea

-589

-20.3%

-12,907

-16.7%

9,293

23.4%

4,203

--

0

--

Ethiopia

-896

-36.0%

39,167

4.6%

-34,069

-12.8%

-4,203

-60.8%

0

--

Gabon

-173,079

-94.9%

168,918

209.6%

4,161

--

0

--

0

--

Ghana

0

0.0%

88,074

924.9%

-44,340

-23.9%

-43,734

-97.8%

0

--

Guinea

14,326

578.3%

-8,996

-3.8%

-5,329

-100.0%

0

--

0

--

Guinea-Bissau

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Kenya

-473

-16.7%

-57,755

-18.7%

14,451

6.9%

42,727

67.0%

1,050

--

Lesotho

-30,673

-99.6%

29,680

--

886

--

107

--

0

--

Liberia

3,185

134.7%

-3,185

-3.4%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Libya

-1,939

-0.1%

1,939

1.1%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Madagascar

-1,136

-11.7%

25,540

7.5%

-259

-0.2%

-24,145

-32.1%

0

--

Malawi

0

--

3,776

3.3%

-3,776

-85.0%

0

--

0

--

Mali

-14,680

-40.2%

-33,192

-4.9%

54,212

10.0%

-6,340

-100.0%

0

--

Mauritania

-5,726

-3.7%

-52,690

-8.1%

44,558

19.1%

13,859

--

0

--

Morocco

-120,135

-29.6%

120,135

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Mozambique

-92

-2.6%

22,738

7.2%

25,351

7.9%

-47,997

-31.0%

0

--

Namibia

-91,301

-46.7%

-37,157

-13.9%

25,803

11.1%

102,655

78.4%

0

--

Niger

-7,106

-71.4%

-59,912

-8.2%

89,908

21.4%

-22,890

-100.0%

0

--

Nigeria

12,720

207.2%

211,503

66.7%

-224,224

-38.0%

0

--

0

--

Rwanda

1

31.9%

109

0.4%

-109

-100.0%

0

--

0

--

Sao Tome & Principe

-542

-76.5%

542

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Senegal

0

0.0%

29,424

50.6%

-29,424

-21.2%

0

--

0

--

Seychelles

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Sierra Leone

12,880

332.4%

-12,880

-18.6%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Somalia

-6,118

-61.2%

-221,150

-44.6%

175,783

201.9%

51,485

115.5%

0

--

South Africa

-592,894

-64.9%

416,362

159.6%

86,292

251.3%

90,240

767.6%

0

--

Sudan

-1,929

-1.6%

166,575

20.4%

30,088

2.4%

-194,734

-61.4%

0

--

Swaziland

-27

-33.3%

-2,713

-33.2%

-3,715

-45.3%

6,455

1663.2%

0

--

Tanzania

459

12.6%

65,642

10.8%

-1,941

-1.0%

-64,160

-49.5%

0

--

The Gambia

0

0.0%

3,233

49.3%

-3,233

-100.0%

0

--

0

--

Togo

0

0.0%

45,722

--

-42,690

-80.4%

-3,032

-100.0%

0

--

Tunisia

0

0.0%

0

--

0

--

0

--

0

--

Uganda

280

149.7%

68,589

43.6%

-59,762

-75.7%

-9,107

-99.6%

0

--

Western Sahara

-7,146

-6.1%

7,146

4.7%

0

--

0

--

0

--

Zambia

-900

-100.0%

31,898

5.1%

-30,998

-25.4%

0

--

0

--

Zimbabwe

-5,439

-93.9%

-11,414

-5.2%

-5,354

-3.8%

22,207

87.9%

0

--

Grand total

-1,515,491

-20.2%

1,670,823

12.0%

-405,522

-5.5%

249,141

21.5%

1,050

--

  1. Values were obtained by subtracting the Eco-climatic index (EI) estimates for future A. arabiensis distribution from projected scenario 2 criteria to the EI estimates obtained under current climate for each country. The percentages (%) were calculated by dividing each absolute area change to the current area value per country. Tables 1,2,3,4: (--) Represents the absolute change within a scale range in which the current value of area was zero (0); (+) indicates an increase; (-) indicates a reduction in areas; (0) means no change.