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Table 3 Sensitivity analysis of the model. Data from the traps presented in Figure 5 are used in these analyses. For the starting condition: a. 7°C for 3 day average, b. 6°C for 3 days, c. 8°C for 3 days and d. 7°C for 2 days. For daily egg mortality (T indicates the mean temperature (°C)): 1. 0.2%/day (5≤T≤30), (0.02(5-T)+0.2)% (T<5), (0.02(T-30)+0.2)% (T >30), 2. 0.2%/day (5≤T≤20), (0.02(5-T)+0.2)% (T<5), (0.02(T-20)+0.2)% (T>20), 3. 0.2%/day (15≤T0≤3), (0.02(15-T)+0.2)% (T<5), (0.02(T-30)+0.2)% (T>30). Totals A, B, C are the annual total mosquito abundance calculated by using an adult daily mortality of: (0.24(T-25)2+5)% for TotalA (this is used in this study), (0.24(T-24)2+5)% for TotalB, (0.24(T-26)2+5)% for TotalC.

From: Predicting outbreaks: a spatial risk assessment of West Nile virus in British Columbia

C. tarsalis
Trap of Fig. 5(a)1 Start Max Date of max Total    
Final model a 17.55 Jul.25 326.8    
Model1 b 17.55 Jul.25 326.8    
Model2 c 17.55 Jul.25 326.8    
Model3 d 17.48 Jul.25 325.5    
Trap of Fig. 5(a)2
Final model a 18.80 Jul.22 396.3    
Model1 b 18.80 Jul.22 396.3    
Model2 c 18.80 Jul.22 396.3    
Model3 d 18.80 Jul.22 396.3    
C. pipiens
  Start Egg Mortality Max Date of Max TotalA TotalB TotalC
Trap of Fig. 5(b)1
Final model a 1 53.00 Aug.18 868.0 1047.0 719.9
Model1 a 2 53.00 Aug.18 868.0 1047.0 719.9
Model2 a 3 52.90 Aug.18 866.4 1045.0 718.6
Model3 b 1 53.00 Aug.18 868.0 1047.0 719.9
Model4 b 2 53.00 Aug.18 868.0 1047.0 719.9
Model5 b 3 52.90 Aug.18 866.4 1045.0 718.6
Model6 c 1 53.00 Aug.18 868.0 1047.0 719.9
Model7 c 2 53.00 Aug.18 868.0 1047.0 719.9
Model8 c 3 52.90 Aug.18 866.4 1045.0 718.6
Trap of Fig. 5(b)2
Final model a 1 53.04 Aug.12 1009.4 1186.8 851.1
Model1 a 2 53.03 Aug.12 1009.2 1186.6 850.9
Model2 a 3 52.68 Aug.12 1002.4 1178.7 845.2
Model3 b 1 53.04 Aug.12 1009.4 1186.8 851.1
Model4 b 2 53.03 Aug.12 1009.2 1186.6 850.9
Model5 b 3 52.68 Aug.12 1002.4 1178.7 845.2
Model6 c 1 53.04 Aug.12 1009.4 1186.8 851.1
Model7 c 2 53.03 Aug.12 1009.2 1186.6 850.9
Model8 c 3 52.68 Aug.12 1002.4 1178.7 845.2