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Table 3 Relationships between key variables and suitability for endemic and epidemic Rift Valley fever.

From: Application of knowledge-driven spatial modelling approaches and uncertainty management to a study of Rift Valley fever in Africa

 

Endemic suitability

Epidemic suitability

Factor

Shape

Maximum suitability

Minimum suitability

Shape

Maximum suitability

Minimum suitability

Rainfall

Symmetrical

750–2000 mm

<50 mm; >3000 mm

Monotonic decreasing

<10 mm

>3000 mm

Land Surface Temperature

Symmetrical

40 – 45°C

<25°C; >50°C

Monotonic increasing

>40°C

<25°C

Elevation

Monotonic decreasing

<10 m

>2500 m

Monotonic decreasing

<10 m

>2500 m

Distance to major rivers

Monotonic decreasing

<0.1 dec. degrees

> 2.0 dec. degrees

Monotonic decreasing

<0.1 dec. degrees

> 2.0 dec. degrees

Distance to minor rivers

Monotonic decreasing

0.0 dec. degrees

> 0.1 dec. degrees

Monotonic decreasing

0.0 dec. degrees

> 0.1 dec. degrees

Livestock density

Monotonic increasing

>1000 head/km2

<10 head/km2

Monotonic increasing

>1000 head/km2

<10 head/km2

  1. One decimal degree equals approximately 120 kilometres at the equator.