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Table 2 Predictive Match by Age Band

From: A model for spatial variations in life expectancy; mortality in Chinese regions in 2000

  Total observations not within 95% intervals of yrep,risx Average of log(CPO)
Age band Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
0–4 38 30 13 -9.0 -8.3 -8.3
5–9 6 3 0 -5.6 -5.2 -5.2
10–14 4 0 0 -5.4 -5.1 -5.0
15–19 11 12 17 -6.0 -5.9 -6.0
20–24 12 6 10 -6.3 -6.1 -6.2
25–29 3 2 6 -6.5 -6.3 -6.3
30–34 1 1 4 -6.5 -6.3 -6.3
35–39 1 2 2 -6.5 -6.3 -6.3
40–44 1 1 1 -6.6 -6.4 -6.3
45–49 0 1 1 -6.9 -6.8 -6.7
50–54 0 0 1 -7.1 -7.0 -6.9
55–59 0 1 3 -7.3 -7.2 -7.2
60–64 0 2 3 -7.8 -7.7 -7.6
65–69 1 3 4 -8.1 -8.0 -8.0
70–74 1 1 6 -8.3 -8.2 -8.2
75–79 1 2 2 -8.3 -8.1 -8.0
80–84 2 2 6 -8.1 -7.9 -7.9
85–89 6 5 2 -7.7 -7.4 -7.3
90–94 7 8 4 -6.8 -6.5 -6.4
95–99 20 23 0 -5.8 -5.6 -5.2
100+ 23 27 4 -4.1 -4.0 -3.8
All* 138 132 89 -6.9 -6.7 -6.6
  1. * Gives total observations (in 2604) not within 95% intervals of yrep and average log(CPO) over all 2604 cases