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Table 2 Predictive Match by Age Band

From: A model for spatial variations in life expectancy; mortality in Chinese regions in 2000

 

Total observations not within 95% intervals of yrep,risx

Average of log(CPO)

Age band

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

0–4

38

30

13

-9.0

-8.3

-8.3

5–9

6

3

0

-5.6

-5.2

-5.2

10–14

4

0

0

-5.4

-5.1

-5.0

15–19

11

12

17

-6.0

-5.9

-6.0

20–24

12

6

10

-6.3

-6.1

-6.2

25–29

3

2

6

-6.5

-6.3

-6.3

30–34

1

1

4

-6.5

-6.3

-6.3

35–39

1

2

2

-6.5

-6.3

-6.3

40–44

1

1

1

-6.6

-6.4

-6.3

45–49

0

1

1

-6.9

-6.8

-6.7

50–54

0

0

1

-7.1

-7.0

-6.9

55–59

0

1

3

-7.3

-7.2

-7.2

60–64

0

2

3

-7.8

-7.7

-7.6

65–69

1

3

4

-8.1

-8.0

-8.0

70–74

1

1

6

-8.3

-8.2

-8.2

75–79

1

2

2

-8.3

-8.1

-8.0

80–84

2

2

6

-8.1

-7.9

-7.9

85–89

6

5

2

-7.7

-7.4

-7.3

90–94

7

8

4

-6.8

-6.5

-6.4

95–99

20

23

0

-5.8

-5.6

-5.2

100+

23

27

4

-4.1

-4.0

-3.8

All*

138

132

89

-6.9

-6.7

-6.6

  1. * Gives total observations (in 2604) not within 95% intervals of yrep and average log(CPO) over all 2604 cases