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Table 2 Comparison of detection power on ED and TH datasets, for varying outbreak sizes

From: An empirical comparison of spatial scan statistics for outbreak detection

method

ED large

ED medium

ED small

TH large

TH medium

TH small

KULL MA

6.05 (35.4%)

3.11 (98.4%)

3.67 (84.9%)

6.58 (12.8%)

4.36 (92.8%)

4.06 (93.1%)

KULL MA-DOW

5.74 (39.7%)

3.04 (98.3%)

3.60 (85.1%)

6.54 (12.2%)

4.36 (92.4%)

4.06 (92.2%)

KULL MA-WK

6.01 (37.0%)

3.11 (98.5%)

3.65 (85.0%)

6.57 (13.1%)

4.36 (92.8%)

4.06 (93.1%)

KULL MA-WK-DOW

5.74 (40.0%)

3.04 (98.3%)

3.61 (85.1%)

6.54 (12.3%)

4.36 (92.4%)

4.06 (92.2%)

EBP MA

2.46 (100%)

2.45 (99.8%)

3.19 (90.1%)

3.31 (99.5%)

3.35 (99.3%)

3.60 (97.6%)

EBP MA-DOW

2.46 (100%)

2.44 (99.7%)

3.28 (90.0%)

3.27 (99.6%)

3.46 (99.3%)

3.79 (96.5%)

EBP MA-WK

2.50 (100%)

2.45 (99.7%)

3.18 (89.0%)

3.53 (96.3%)

3.39 (99.0%)

3.60 (96.3%)

EBP MA-WK-DOW

2.55 (100%)

2.51 (99.6%)

3.32 (88.5%)

3.64 (93.2%)

3.56 (97.5%)

3.81 (94.7%)

EBG MA

2.98 (100%)

2.77 (99.9%)

3.37 (88.4%)

4.46 (88.8%)

4.34 (90.2%)

4.27 (86.6%)

EBG MA-DOW

3.04 (100%)

2.90 (99.4%)

3.41 (88.3%)

5.00 (78.4%)

4.94 (77.9%)

4.76 (74.5%)

EBG MA-WK

2.99 (99.9%)

2.78 (99.8%)

3.35 (88.8%)

4.71 (79.8%)

4.42 (88.2%)

4.31 (85.1%)

EBG MA-WK-DOW

3.15 (99.7%)

2.97 (98.8%)

3.40 (87.9%)

5.24 (63.2%)

5.02 (73.1%)

4.76 (73.6%)

  1. Average days to detection, and percentage of outbreaks detected, at 1 false positive per month. Methods in bold are not significantly different (in terms of days to detect, at α = .05) from the best-performing method.