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Table 3 Five km results with mean total residual deviances ( D ) and each model’s ranked position

From: Improved correlation of human Q fever incidence to modelled C. burnetii concentrations by means of an atmospheric dispersion model

Area Model Emission V β 0 (intercept) β 1 (slope) D Position
μ 95% CI p * μ 95% CI p *
A ADM conEpi 0 −2.48 [−4.03;-0.94] 4.5E-03 0.99 [0.67;1.31] 9.9E-06 150.9 I
A ADM conEpi 2 −2.64 [−4.22;-1.07] 2.6E-03 0.90 [0.59;1.20] 1.8E-05 151.3 I
A ADM lNormEpi 0 −2.98 [−4.58;-1.37] 6.5E-04 0.91 [0.58;1.24] 1.0E-04 154.0 II
A ADM lNormEpi 2 −3.16 [−4.78;-1.54] 3.5E-04 0.81 [0.50;1.12] 1.6E-04 154.5 II
A ADM conEpi 4 −3.74 [−5.30;-2.17] 2.4E-05 0.58 [0.33;0.83] 2.0E-04 155.1 III
A DISTANCE - - −2.33 [−4.30;-0.35] 5.4E-02 0.59 [0.36;0.81] 8.8E-04 156.5 IV
A ADM lNormEpi 4 −4.37 [−5.93;-2.82] 6.2E-07 0.49 [0.24;0.74] 1.9E-03 157.8 V
A ADM conYear 0 −4.45 [−6.24;-2.66] 2.4E-06 0.60 [0.24;0.96] 1.2E-02 161.0 VI
A ADM conYear 4 −5.54 [−7.29;-3.79] 8.3E-09 0.31 [0.03;0.59] 7.6E-02 162.8 VII
A ADM conEpi 6 −5.74 [−7.19;-4.29] 3.6E-09 0.27 [0.05;0.49] 5.3E-02 162.9 VII
A ADM conYear 2 −5.33 [−7.28;-3.39] 2.4E-07 0.39 [0.04;0.75] 8.5E-02 163.8 VIII
A NULL - - −7.51 [−7.80;-7.21] 0 - - - 163.9 VIII
A ADM lNormEpi 6 −6.19 [−7.67;-4.70] 1.4E-11 0.19 [−0.02;0.40] 1.5E-01 164.0 VIII
A ADM conYear 6 −6.75 [−8.44;-5.06] 4.6E-12 0.11 [−0.13;0.36] 4.1E-01 165.1 IX
B ADM conYear 4 −1.24 [−2.25;-0.24] 4.7E-02 0.74 [0.57;0.90] 2.6E-11 264.1 I
B DISTANCE - - −2.00 [−2.79;-1.20] 2.1E-03 0.72 [0.57;0.88] 2.6E-12 265.0 II
B ADM conEpi 0 −1.89 [−2.72;-1.05] 4.8E-03 0.85 [0.67;1.04] 3.1E-12 265.5 II
B ADM lNormEpi 0 −2.01 [−2.83;-1.19] 3.0E-03 0.84 [0.65;1.02] 5.5E-12 266.1 III
B ADM conEpi 2 −1.88 [−2.78;-0.98] 3.9E-03 0.78 [0.60;0.96] 5.7E-11 267.0 IV
B ADM lNormEpi 2 −1.94 [−2.82;-1.05] 4.2E-03 0.77 [0.59;0.95] 3.7E-10 267.3 IV
B ADM conYear 0 −1.62 [−2.51;-0.73] 2.9E-02 0.84 [0.66;1.02] 2.9E-11 268.4 V
B ADM lNormEpi 4 −2.14 [−3.09;-1.18] 3.7E-04 0.64 [0.47;0.81] 5.9E-10 268.4 V
B ADM conEpi 4 −2.36 [−3.31;-1.42] 6.0E-05 0.59 [0.43;0.76] 5.9E-09 270.6 VI
B ADM conYear 2 −1.56 [−2.51;-0.61] 4.4E-02 0.77 [0.59;0.94] 7.1E-11 270.8 VI
B ADM conYear 6 −3.01 [−4.05;-1.98] 7.6E-06 0.40 [0.25;0.55] 2.8E-05 281.9 VII
B ADM conEpi 6 −4.52 [−5.22;-3.82] 5.4E-23 0.18 [0.09;0.28] 1.7E-03 288.2 VIII
B ADM lNormEpi 6 −4.52 [−5.28;-3.75] 1.1E-22 0.18 [0.08;0.28] 4.5E-03 289.2 IX
B NULL - - −5.86 [−6.03;-5.70] 0 - - - 294.1 X
C ADM conYear 2 1.17 [−0.01;2.35] 0.11 1.27 [1.03;1.51] 1.7E-15 156.2 I
C ADM conEpi 2 0.99 [−0.24;2.21] 0.18 1.22 [0.97;1.46] 1.7E-15 159.8 II
C ADM conYear 6 −0.25 [−1.36;0.86] 0.54 0.86 [0.66;1.05] 6.6E-13 160.0 II
C ADM conYear 4 0.00 [−1.19;1.19] 0.61 0.94 [0.73;1.16] 1.4E-12 160.4 III
C ADM conEpi 0 1.21 [0.17;2.26] 0.10 1.35 [1.13;1.57] 3.9E-19 161.0 III
C ADM conYear 0 1.13 [0.07;2.18] 0.15 1.34 [1.11;1.56] 4.7E-18 162.8 IV
C ADM lNormEpi 4 0.20 [−1.15;1.55] 0.58 0.97 [0.73;1.21] 2.7E-11 167.1 V
C ADM conEpi 4 −0.06 [−1.42;1.29] 0.57 0.91 [0.67;1.15] 1.1E-10 168.6 VI
C ADM lNormEpi 0 0.97 [−0.11;2.05] 0.22 1.31 [1.08;1.53] 2.5E-17 169.0 VI
C ADM lNormEpi 2 0.55 [−0.74;1.84] 0.45 1.13 [0.88;1.39] 2.7E-13 169.0 VI
C ADM conEpi 6 −0.52 [−1.72;0.69] 0.42 0.78 [0.58;0.98] 1.8E-10 170.5 VII
C DISTANCE -   −0.28 [−1.39;0.82] 0.39 0.98 [0.77;1.20] 1.2E-11 180.3 VIII
C ADM lNormEpi 6 −1.81 [−3.08;-0.54] 0.02 0.57 [0.37;0.76] 1.7E-06 187.9 IX
C NULL -   −5.58 [−5.79;-5.37] 0.00 -   - 203.8 X
  1. *Italic p-values for β 0 and β 1 indicate p ≥ 0.05.
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International Journal of Health Geographics

ISSN: 1476-072X