Table 3 Five km results with mean total residual deviances ( D ) and each model’s ranked position

A

ADM

conEpi

0

−2.48

[−4.03;-0.94]

4.5E-03

0.99

[0.67;1.31]

9.9E-06

150.9

I

A

ADM

conEpi

2

−2.64

[−4.22;-1.07]

2.6E-03

0.90

[0.59;1.20]

1.8E-05

151.3

I

A

ADM

lNormEpi

0

−2.98

[−4.58;-1.37]

6.5E-04

0.91

[0.58;1.24]

1.0E-04

154.0

II

A

ADM

lNormEpi

2

−3.16

[−4.78;-1.54]

3.5E-04

0.81

[0.50;1.12]

1.6E-04

154.5

II

A

ADM

conEpi

4

−3.74

[−5.30;-2.17]

2.4E-05

0.58

[0.33;0.83]

2.0E-04

155.1

III

A

DISTANCE

-

-

−2.33

[−4.30;-0.35]

5.4E-02

0.59

[0.36;0.81]

8.8E-04

156.5

IV

A

ADM

lNormEpi

4

−4.37

[−5.93;-2.82]

6.2E-07

0.49

[0.24;0.74]

1.9E-03

157.8

V

A

ADM

conYear

0

−4.45

[−6.24;-2.66]

2.4E-06

0.60

[0.24;0.96]

1.2E-02

161.0

VI

A

ADM

conYear

4

−5.54

[−7.29;-3.79]

8.3E-09

0.31

[0.03;0.59]

7.6E-02

162.8

VII

A

ADM

conEpi

6

−5.74

[−7.19;-4.29]

3.6E-09

0.27

[0.05;0.49]

5.3E-02

162.9

VII

A

ADM

conYear

2

−5.33

[−7.28;-3.39]

2.4E-07

0.39

[0.04;0.75]

8.5E-02

163.8

VIII

A

NULL

-

-

−7.51

[−7.80;-7.21]

0

-

-

-

163.9

VIII

A

ADM

lNormEpi

6

−6.19

[−7.67;-4.70]

1.4E-11

0.19

[−0.02;0.40]

1.5E-01

164.0

VIII

A

ADM

conYear

6

−6.75

[−8.44;-5.06]

4.6E-12

0.11

[−0.13;0.36]

4.1E-01

165.1

IX

B

ADM

conYear

4

−1.24

[−2.25;-0.24]

4.7E-02

0.74

[0.57;0.90]

2.6E-11

264.1

I

B

DISTANCE

-

-

−2.00

[−2.79;-1.20]

2.1E-03

0.72

[0.57;0.88]

2.6E-12

265.0

II

B

ADM

conEpi

0

−1.89

[−2.72;-1.05]

4.8E-03

0.85

[0.67;1.04]

3.1E-12

265.5

II

B

ADM

lNormEpi

0

−2.01

[−2.83;-1.19]

3.0E-03

0.84

[0.65;1.02]

5.5E-12

266.1

III

B

ADM

conEpi

2

−1.88

[−2.78;-0.98]

3.9E-03

0.78

[0.60;0.96]

5.7E-11

267.0

IV

B

ADM

lNormEpi

2

−1.94

[−2.82;-1.05]

4.2E-03

0.77

[0.59;0.95]

3.7E-10

267.3

IV

B

ADM

conYear

0

−1.62

[−2.51;-0.73]

2.9E-02

0.84

[0.66;1.02]

2.9E-11

268.4

V

B

ADM

lNormEpi

4

−2.14

[−3.09;-1.18]

3.7E-04

0.64

[0.47;0.81]

5.9E-10

268.4

V

B

ADM

conEpi

4

−2.36

[−3.31;-1.42]

6.0E-05

0.59

[0.43;0.76]

5.9E-09

270.6

VI

B

ADM

conYear

2

−1.56

[−2.51;-0.61]

4.4E-02

0.77

[0.59;0.94]

7.1E-11

270.8

VI

B

ADM

conYear

6

−3.01

[−4.05;-1.98]

7.6E-06

0.40

[0.25;0.55]

2.8E-05

281.9

VII

B

ADM

conEpi

6

−4.52

[−5.22;-3.82]

5.4E-23

0.18

[0.09;0.28]

1.7E-03

288.2

VIII

B

ADM

lNormEpi

6

−4.52

[−5.28;-3.75]

1.1E-22

0.18

[0.08;0.28]

4.5E-03

289.2

IX

B

NULL

-

-

−5.86

[−6.03;-5.70]

0

-

-

-

294.1

X

C

ADM

conYear

2

1.17

[−0.01;2.35]

0.11

1.27

[1.03;1.51]

1.7E-15

156.2

I

C

ADM

conEpi

2

0.99

[−0.24;2.21]

0.18

1.22

[0.97;1.46]

1.7E-15

159.8

II

C

ADM

conYear

6

−0.25

[−1.36;0.86]

0.54

0.86

[0.66;1.05]

6.6E-13

160.0

II

C

ADM

conYear

4

0.00

[−1.19;1.19]

0.61

0.94

[0.73;1.16]

1.4E-12

160.4

III

C

ADM

conEpi

0

1.21

[0.17;2.26]

0.10

1.35

[1.13;1.57]

3.9E-19

161.0

III

C

ADM

conYear

0

1.13

[0.07;2.18]

0.15

1.34

[1.11;1.56]

4.7E-18

162.8

IV

C

ADM

lNormEpi

4

0.20

[−1.15;1.55]

0.58

0.97

[0.73;1.21]

2.7E-11

167.1

V

C

ADM

conEpi

4

−0.06

[−1.42;1.29]

0.57

0.91

[0.67;1.15]

1.1E-10

168.6

VI

C

ADM

lNormEpi

0

0.97

[−0.11;2.05]

0.22

1.31

[1.08;1.53]

2.5E-17

169.0

VI

C

ADM

lNormEpi

2

0.55

[−0.74;1.84]

0.45

1.13

[0.88;1.39]

2.7E-13

169.0

VI

C

ADM

conEpi

6

−0.52

[−1.72;0.69]

0.42

0.78

[0.58;0.98]

1.8E-10

170.5

VII

C

DISTANCE

-

−0.28

[−1.39;0.82]

0.39

0.98

[0.77;1.20]

1.2E-11

180.3

VIII

C

ADM

lNormEpi

6

−1.81

[−3.08;-0.54]

0.02

0.57

[0.37;0.76]

1.7E-06

187.9

IX

C

NULL

-

−5.58

[−5.79;-5.37]

0.00

-

-

203.8

X