Table 4 Ten km results with mean total residual deviances ( D ) and each model’s ranked position

A

ADM

conEpi

0

−1.97

[−3.04;-0.89]

2.0E-03

1.11

[0.91;1.30]

2.0E-14

273.4

I

A

ADM

conEpi

2

−2.04

[−3.15;-0.93]

1.5E-03

1.03

[0.84;1.22]

3.3E-14

276.8

II

A

ADM

lNormEpi

0

−2.27

[−3.36;-1.18]

2.8E-04

1.07

[0.87;1.28]

9.7E-14

278.2

III

A

ADM

lNormEpi

2

−2.32

[−3.45;-1.20]

2.1E-04

1.00

[0.80;1.19]

8.5E-14

280.1

IV

A

ADM

conEpi

4

−2.77

[−4.01;-1.52]

7.0E-05

0.79

[0.60;0.97]

1.3E-10

288.0

V

A

DISTANCE

-

-

−1.18

[−2.48;0.12]

2.2E-01

0.75

[0.61;0.89]

1.1E-11

291.6

VI

A

ADM

conYear

0

−3.19

[−4.37;-2.01]

4.7E-07

0.91

[0.69;1.12]

5.3E-10

292.0

VI

A

ADM

lNormEpi

4

−3.33

[−4.58;-2.09]

1.6E-06

0.72

[0.53;0.90]

4.9E-09

292.3

VI

A

ADM

conYear

2

−3.97

[−5.30;-2.63]

3.2E-08

0.72

[0.50;0.94]

1.3E-06

301.8

VII

A

ADM

conYear

4

−4.44

[−5.83;-3.06]

3.9E-09

0.57

[0.37;0.77]

3.0E-05

304.6

VIII

A

ADM

conEpi

6

−5.45

[−6.81;-4.09]

2.3E-10

0.41

[0.22;0.60]

1.0E-03

309.1

IX

A

ADM

lNormEpi

6

−5.90

[−7.28;-4.52]

1.8E-12

0.34

[0.15;0.52]

4.5E-03

312.5

X

A

ADM

conYear

6

−6.02

[−7.51;-4.54]

3.5E-13

0.33

[0.13;0.52]

1.4E-02

313.5

X

A

NULL

-

-

−8.50

[−8.74;-8.26]

0

-

-

-

316.2

XI

B

ADM

conEpi

0

−1.48

[−2.10;-0.86]

3.1E-03

0.96

[0.83;1.08]

1.4E-32

391.7

I

B

DISTANCE

-

-

−1.63

[−2.23;-1.04]

8.1E-04

0.81

[0.70;0.91]

8.0E-33

393.1

II

B

ADM

lNormEpi

0

−1.57

[−2.18;-0.97]

2.4E-03

0.95

[0.82;1.07]

9.4E-34

393.5

II

B

ADM

conEpi

2

−1.29

[−1.95;-0.64]

8.7E-03

0.92

[0.79;1.04]

4.5E-30

395.1

III

B

ADM

lNormEpi

2

−1.34

[−1.99;-0.69]

9.3E-03

0.91

[0.79;1.03]

2.2E-31

395.5

III

B

ADM

conYear

4

−0.86

[−1.63;-0.09]

7.4E-02

0.82

[0.70;0.93]

1.7E-27

397.4

IV

B

ADM

conYear

0

−1.13

[−1.78;-0.47]

4.3E-02

0.96

[0.83;1.08]

1.5E-32

398.0

IV

B

ADM

lNormEpi

4

−1.55

[−2.26;-0.84]

6.3E-04

0.77

[0.65;0.88]

2.9E-27

399.3

V

B

ADM

conEpi

4

−1.62

[−2.33;-0.91]

2.6E-04

0.75

[0.63;0.87]

3.7E-27

401.6

VI

B

ADM

conYear

2

−0.95

[−1.65;-0.24]

9.7E-02

0.91

[0.79;1.03]

1.2E-28

406.7

VII

B

ADM

conYear

6

−2.40

[−3.20;-1.59]

2.0E-05

0.53

[0.42;0.64]

1.0E-14

433.2

VIII

B

ADM

conEpi

6

−3.74

[−4.43;-3.04]

3.2E-19

0.36

[0.26;0.45]

6.5E-10

449.3

IX

B

ADM

lNormEpi

6

−3.74

[−4.49;-2.99]

3.4E-15

0.35

[0.25;0.44]

1.4E-08

455.0

X

B

NULL

-

-

−6.52

[−6.67;-6.37]

0

-

-

-

479.0

XI

C

ADM

conEpi

0

1.36

[0.61;2.11]

8.5E-03

1.39

[1.26;1.53]

8.7E-49

386.5

I

C

ADM

conYear

2

1.63

[0.80;2.46]

3.0E-03

1.39

[1.25;1.54]

2.0E-48

387.1

I

C

ADM

conYear

0

1.35

[0.61;2.10]

9.4E-03

1.40

[1.26;1.54]

6.6E-49

388.0

II

C

ADM

conEpi

2

1.54

[0.68;2.40]

6.5E-03

1.36

[1.21;1.51]

1.1E-42

392.6

III

C

ADM

lNormEpi

0

1.23

[0.47;1.98]

1.8E-02

1.38

[1.24;1.52]

8.7E-45

395.2

IV

C

ADM

lNormEpi

2

1.34

[0.46;2.23]

1.9E-02

1.33

[1.18;1.48]

1.1E-39

403.3

V

C

DISTANCE

-

-

0.36

[−0.35;1.07]

4.4E-01

1.13

[1.01;1.25]

9.1E-45

411.0

VI

C

ADM

conYear

4

0.36

[−0.58;1.29]

4.3E-01

1.08

[0.93;1.23]

1.3E-24

415.1

VII

C

ADM

conYear

6

−0.17

[−1.08;0.74]

5.2E-01

0.95

[0.81;1.09]

1.8E-23

416.4

VIII

C

ADM

lNormEpi

4

0.71

[−0.29;1.71]

2.7E-01

1.12

[0.96;1.28]

3.8E-21

418.6

IX

C

ADM

conEpi

6

−0.05

[−1.01;0.91]

5.6E-01

0.93

[0.79;1.07]

7.3E-25

420.9

X

C

ADM

conEpi

4

0.43

[−0.59;1.46]

4.1E-01

1.07

[0.91;1.23]

7.2E-23

422.6

XI

C

ADM

lNormEpi

6

−0.68

[−1.66;0.30]

2.6E-01

0.83

[0.69;0.97]

1.4E-21

439.3

XII

C

NULL

-

-

−6.95

[−7.11;-6.79]

0

-

-

-

512.8

XIII