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Table 4 Ten km results with mean total residual deviances ( D ) and each model’s ranked position

From: Improved correlation of human Q fever incidence to modelled C. burnetii concentrations by means of an atmospheric dispersion model

Area Model Emission V β 0 β 1 D Position
μ 95% CI p * μ 95% CI p *
A ADM conEpi 0 −1.97 [−3.04;-0.89] 2.0E-03 1.11 [0.91;1.30] 2.0E-14 273.4 I
A ADM conEpi 2 −2.04 [−3.15;-0.93] 1.5E-03 1.03 [0.84;1.22] 3.3E-14 276.8 II
A ADM lNormEpi 0 −2.27 [−3.36;-1.18] 2.8E-04 1.07 [0.87;1.28] 9.7E-14 278.2 III
A ADM lNormEpi 2 −2.32 [−3.45;-1.20] 2.1E-04 1.00 [0.80;1.19] 8.5E-14 280.1 IV
A ADM conEpi 4 −2.77 [−4.01;-1.52] 7.0E-05 0.79 [0.60;0.97] 1.3E-10 288.0 V
A DISTANCE - - −1.18 [−2.48;0.12] 2.2E-01 0.75 [0.61;0.89] 1.1E-11 291.6 VI
A ADM conYear 0 −3.19 [−4.37;-2.01] 4.7E-07 0.91 [0.69;1.12] 5.3E-10 292.0 VI
A ADM lNormEpi 4 −3.33 [−4.58;-2.09] 1.6E-06 0.72 [0.53;0.90] 4.9E-09 292.3 VI
A ADM conYear 2 −3.97 [−5.30;-2.63] 3.2E-08 0.72 [0.50;0.94] 1.3E-06 301.8 VII
A ADM conYear 4 −4.44 [−5.83;-3.06] 3.9E-09 0.57 [0.37;0.77] 3.0E-05 304.6 VIII
A ADM conEpi 6 −5.45 [−6.81;-4.09] 2.3E-10 0.41 [0.22;0.60] 1.0E-03 309.1 IX
A ADM lNormEpi 6 −5.90 [−7.28;-4.52] 1.8E-12 0.34 [0.15;0.52] 4.5E-03 312.5 X
A ADM conYear 6 −6.02 [−7.51;-4.54] 3.5E-13 0.33 [0.13;0.52] 1.4E-02 313.5 X
A NULL - - −8.50 [−8.74;-8.26] 0 - - - 316.2 XI
B ADM conEpi 0 −1.48 [−2.10;-0.86] 3.1E-03 0.96 [0.83;1.08] 1.4E-32 391.7 I
B DISTANCE - - −1.63 [−2.23;-1.04] 8.1E-04 0.81 [0.70;0.91] 8.0E-33 393.1 II
B ADM lNormEpi 0 −1.57 [−2.18;-0.97] 2.4E-03 0.95 [0.82;1.07] 9.4E-34 393.5 II
B ADM conEpi 2 −1.29 [−1.95;-0.64] 8.7E-03 0.92 [0.79;1.04] 4.5E-30 395.1 III
B ADM lNormEpi 2 −1.34 [−1.99;-0.69] 9.3E-03 0.91 [0.79;1.03] 2.2E-31 395.5 III
B ADM conYear 4 −0.86 [−1.63;-0.09] 7.4E-02 0.82 [0.70;0.93] 1.7E-27 397.4 IV
B ADM conYear 0 −1.13 [−1.78;-0.47] 4.3E-02 0.96 [0.83;1.08] 1.5E-32 398.0 IV
B ADM lNormEpi 4 −1.55 [−2.26;-0.84] 6.3E-04 0.77 [0.65;0.88] 2.9E-27 399.3 V
B ADM conEpi 4 −1.62 [−2.33;-0.91] 2.6E-04 0.75 [0.63;0.87] 3.7E-27 401.6 VI
B ADM conYear 2 −0.95 [−1.65;-0.24] 9.7E-02 0.91 [0.79;1.03] 1.2E-28 406.7 VII
B ADM conYear 6 −2.40 [−3.20;-1.59] 2.0E-05 0.53 [0.42;0.64] 1.0E-14 433.2 VIII
B ADM conEpi 6 −3.74 [−4.43;-3.04] 3.2E-19 0.36 [0.26;0.45] 6.5E-10 449.3 IX
B ADM lNormEpi 6 −3.74 [−4.49;-2.99] 3.4E-15 0.35 [0.25;0.44] 1.4E-08 455.0 X
B NULL - - −6.52 [−6.67;-6.37] 0 - - - 479.0 XI
C ADM conEpi 0 1.36 [0.61;2.11] 8.5E-03 1.39 [1.26;1.53] 8.7E-49 386.5 I
C ADM conYear 2 1.63 [0.80;2.46] 3.0E-03 1.39 [1.25;1.54] 2.0E-48 387.1 I
C ADM conYear 0 1.35 [0.61;2.10] 9.4E-03 1.40 [1.26;1.54] 6.6E-49 388.0 II
C ADM conEpi 2 1.54 [0.68;2.40] 6.5E-03 1.36 [1.21;1.51] 1.1E-42 392.6 III
C ADM lNormEpi 0 1.23 [0.47;1.98] 1.8E-02 1.38 [1.24;1.52] 8.7E-45 395.2 IV
C ADM lNormEpi 2 1.34 [0.46;2.23] 1.9E-02 1.33 [1.18;1.48] 1.1E-39 403.3 V
C DISTANCE - - 0.36 [−0.35;1.07] 4.4E-01 1.13 [1.01;1.25] 9.1E-45 411.0 VI
C ADM conYear 4 0.36 [−0.58;1.29] 4.3E-01 1.08 [0.93;1.23] 1.3E-24 415.1 VII
C ADM conYear 6 −0.17 [−1.08;0.74] 5.2E-01 0.95 [0.81;1.09] 1.8E-23 416.4 VIII
C ADM lNormEpi 4 0.71 [−0.29;1.71] 2.7E-01 1.12 [0.96;1.28] 3.8E-21 418.6 IX
C ADM conEpi 6 −0.05 [−1.01;0.91] 5.6E-01 0.93 [0.79;1.07] 7.3E-25 420.9 X
C ADM conEpi 4 0.43 [−0.59;1.46] 4.1E-01 1.07 [0.91;1.23] 7.2E-23 422.6 XI
C ADM lNormEpi 6 −0.68 [−1.66;0.30] 2.6E-01 0.83 [0.69;0.97] 1.4E-21 439.3 XII
C NULL - - −6.95 [−7.11;-6.79] 0 - - - 512.8 XIII
  1. *Italic p-values for β 0 and β 1 indicate p ≥ 0.05.