Skip to main content

Table 4 Minimal AIC values, assuming that the overall probability of mobility (α) is known from CDRs

From: Mathematical models for predicting human mobility in the context of infectious disease spread: introducing the impedance model

Model

AIC

n = 140

α

n = 140

AIC (%)

n = 140

AIC

n = 78

α

n = 78

AIC (%)

n = 78

CDRs

− 5200

0.14

 

28,992

0.14

 

IM

22,798

0.14

+ 538

20,852

0.14

− 28

GM

22,667

0.14

+ 535

21,136

0.14

− 27

RM

18,915

0.14

+ 464

23,800

0.14

− 18

  1. Overall probability of mobility (α) was derived from the CDRs. The indicated models are: impedance model (IM), gravity model (GM), and radiation model (RM). Results are presented for the two spatial definitions. ∆ AIC corresponds to the variation from the optimal AIC value derived from the CDRs