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Table 1 Temperature dependent parameters [13]

From: Spatial panorama of malaria prevalence in Africa under climate change and interventions scenarios

Variables

Definition

Mathematical expression

Estimate of parameters

a

Biting rate

cT(T − T0) (T m  − T)1/2

c = 0.000203; T m  = 42.3; T0 = 11.7

Ï•

Vector competence

qT2 + rT + s

q = − 0.54; r = 25.2; s = − 206

δ

Adult mortality rate

[ln(qT2 + rT + s)]−1

q = − 0.000828; r = 0.0367; s = 0.522

PDR

Parasite development rate

cT(T − T0) (T m  − T)1/2

c = 0.000111; T m  = 34.4; T0 = 14.7

EFD

Eggs laid per adult female per day

qT2 + rT + s

q = − 0.153; r = 8.61; s = − 97.7

P EA

Egg-to-adult survival probability

qT2 + rT + s

q = − 0.00924; r = 0.453; s = − 4.77

MDR

Mosquito development rate

cT(T − T0) (T m  − T)1/2

C = 0.000111; T m  = 34; T0 = 14.7

  1. More details about the derivation and errors calculations can also be found in supplementary materials [13]