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Table 4 Results of model selection using citizen science to explain CDC reported Lyme disease cases in 2016

From: Citizen science informs human-tick exposure in the Northeastern United States

Model Model parameters df Deviance p Null deviance Residual deviance AIC ΔAIC MAE RMSE NRMSE ρ
1      262.7 253.3 2498 94.1 131.3 1.1 0.4
I. scapularis Submissions 1 9.4 0.002         
2      430.2 242.4 2398.2 99.8 66.5 107.3 0.91 0.77
I. scapularis Submissions 1 15.6 < 0.00001         
State 8 147.9 < 0.00001         
Submissions: State 8 24.4 0.002         
3      536.9 239.4 2345.3 152.7 60.7 101.7 0.86 0.83
I. scapularis Submissions 1 19.6 < 0.00001         
State 8 185.9 < 0.00001         
  Population 1 61.2 < 0.00001         
  Submissions: State 8 30.9 0.00001