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Table 5 Final regression models Mexico: EDF value is reported as the coefficient, and DF is included in parentheses (not standard errors because a chi-square test is used for the smooth terms)

From: Influence of socio-economic, demographic and climate factors on the regional distribution of dengue in the United States and Mexico

 

SE model

Dem model

Clim model

GDP full model

SEindex model

Full model

Intercept

2.57*** (0.20)

2.89*** (0.21)

2.71*** (0.23)

2.20*** (0.24)

2.46*** (0.19)

2.44*** (0.18)

Per capita GDP

   

0.00* (0.00)

  

Socio-economic index

    

1.96*** (1.99)

 

Income of private households

1.95*** (2.00)

    

1.83** (1.96)

Share households with broadband

1.88*** (1.98)

  

1.93*** (1.99)

1.93*** (1.99)

1.92*** (1.99)

(1.99)

Active physicians (1000 pop)

1.00*** (1.00)

  

1.81*** (1.95)

1.75*** (1.92)

1.81*** (1.95)

Number of rooms pp

1.95*** (1.99)

  

1.00 (1.00)

 

1.00 (1.00)

Labour force with secondary edu

1.97*** (2.00)

  

1.95*** (1.99)

 

1.95*** (1.99)

Quality of Life index

1.00 (1.00)

  

1.00 (1.00)

1.00 (1.00)

1.00 (1.00)

Inter-regional migration rate

 

1.00*** (1.00)

 

1.00 (1.00)

1.00 (1.00)

1.00* (1.00)

Pop density growth

 

1.51 (1.74)

 

1.00* (1.00)

1.00 (1.00)

1.00* (1.00)

Mean temp (°C) of coldest quarter

  

1.83*** (1.96)

1.89*** (1.98)

1.94*** (1.99)

1.89*** (1.98)

Precip of warmest quarter (in)

  

1.53 (1.76)

1.71* (1.90)

1.68 (1.88)

1.71* (1.90)

Year

6.72*** (8.00)

6.90*** (8.00)

7.27*** (8.00)

6.45*** (8.00)

6.53*** (8.00)

6.44*** (8.00)

Region

13.18***(13.89)

13.17***(13.90)

12.07***(13.57)

12.19***(13.52)

12.32*** (13.59)

12.13*** (13.47)

AIC

2251.33

2340.28

2270.07

2207.77

2212.08

2204.83

Deviance

978.13

1242.10

1071.46

871.99

886.18

859.68

Deviance explained

0.61

0.47

0.57

0.66

0.66

0.67

Dispersion

3.00

3.57

3.17

2.76

2.78

2.73

\(\text{R}^2\)

0.47

0.38

0.40

0.52

0.51

0.51

Num. obs.

288

288

288

288

288

288

Num. smooth terms

8

4

4

11

10

12

  1. *** p < 0.01; ** p < 0.05; * p < 0.1