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Table 4 Model fit, residual spatial dependence, and residual spatial autocorrelation comparisons

From: Associations between ultraviolet radiation, tree cover and adolescent sunburns

  AIC Area Under Curve (AUC) p1 Global Moran’s I2 p3 Count (%) of participants in significant, positive Local Moran’s I clusters
       Positive4 Negative5 Total
Model 1 1603.897 0.736 Ref 0.0033 0.71 27 (2.0%) 58 (4.4%) 85 (6.4%)
Model 2 1600.689 0.742 0.14 -0.0028 0.85 25 (1.9%) 31 (2.3%) 56 (4.2%)
Model 3 1602.285 0.742 0.14 -0.0017 0.93 30 (2.3%) 42 (3.2%) 72 (5.4%)
Model 4 1601.381 0.744 0.09 -0.0033 0.81 28 (2.1%) 29 (2.2%) 57 (4.3%)
Model 5 1602.770 0.743 0.09 -0.0023 0.89 27 (2.0%) 34 (2.6%) 61 (4.6%)
  1. 1p-values are from Chi-square tests for differences in model Receiver Operator Curves (ROC) with Model 1 ROC
  2. 2Global Moran’s I test statistic based on the standardized deviance residuals at home addresses
  3. 3p-values are from z-scores based on a standard normal distribution of standardized deviance residuals
  4. 4Positive clusters represent significant (p < 0.05), positive clusters of home addresses with positive standardized deviance residuals (where the observed sunburn was higher than predicted)
  5. 5Negative clusters were significant (p < 0.05), positive clusters of home addresses with negative standardized deviance residuals (where the observed sunburn was lower than predicted)