Table 3 Prior distribution used to estimate index P

adult mosquito life-span

\({1 \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {1 {\mu_{(u,t)}^{v} }}} \right. \kern-\nulldelimiterspace} {\mu_{(u,t)}^{v} }}\)

12 days

2

[24]; [26]

mosquito incubation period

\({1 \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {1 {\gamma_{(t)}^{v} }}} \right. \kern-\nulldelimiterspace} {\gamma_{(t)}^{v} }}\)

7 days

2

[27]; [28]; [29]

mosquito biting rate

\(a_{(u)}^{v}\)

0.25/day

0.01

[30]; [25]

human life-span

1/μ^h

71 years

3

–

human incubation period

1/γ^h

5.8 days

1

[31]; [27]; [32]

human infections period

1/σ^h

5.9 days

1

[31]; [27]; [32]

human to mosquito probability of transmission

\(\phi^{h \Rightarrow v}\)

0.5

0.01

–