Table 3 Results of the effect estimates of development indicators on under five mortality rates from the parametric and non-parametric space-time models
From: Spatiotemporal analysis of the effect of global development indicators on child mortality
| Â | Model 1 | Model 6 (Type IV Interaction) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | Mean | 95% Cred. Interval | Mean | 95% Cred. Interval |
Fixed Effect Component | ||||
Intercept | 66.28 | 58.26 to 74.29 | 38.72 | 32.95 to 44.49 |
Secondary education, pupils (% female) | − 0.01 | − 0.02 to 0.00 | − 0.02 | − 0.02 to − 0.01 |
Employment to population ratio, 15 + , female (%) (ILO estimate) | 0.09 | − 0.01 to 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.34 to 0.45 |
Gross domestic product—per capita (natural logarithm scale) | − 1.26 | − 1.51 to − 1.01 | − 0.47 | − 0.82 to − 0.12 |
Gross national expenditure (% of GDP) | 0.01 | − 0.00 to 0.02 | − 0.00 | − 0.01 to 0.01 |
Out-of-pocket expenditure (% of current health expenditure) | − 0.01 | − 0.03 to 0.02 | − 0.01 | − 0.05 to 0.02 |
Current health expenditure (% of GDP) | − 0.40 | − 0.55 to − 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.10 to 0.44 |
People using at least basic drinking water services (% of population) | − 0.02 | − 0.05 to 0.00 | − 0.14 | − 0.17 to − 0.11 |
People practicing open defecation (% of population) | 0.14 | 0.08 to 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.12 to 0.26 |
People using at least basic sanitation services (% of population) | − 0.03 | − 0.05 to − 0.01 | − 0.04 | − 0.07 to -0.01 |
PM2.5 air pollution, mean annual exposure (micrograms per cubic meter) | 0.01 | − 0.05 to 0.07 | − 0.09 | − 0.11 to − 0.02 |
Year | − 1.48 | − 1.74 to − 1.21 | – | – |